ZenTrader's Daily Edge

Trading is one of the hardest paths you can choose. It demands more from you than any other profession — your mindset, your emotions, your discipline.

Past trades will haunt you. Future trades will scare you.

But if you let go of both and stay present — you regain control. And in that moment, your next decision becomes your edge.

Happy Monday, Zen Traders!

A fresh week means new opportunities — and the market’s already laying down some early setups. Don’t let the quiet open fool you. With multiple FOMC speeches, Wednesday’s meeting minutes, and Friday’s NFP on the horizon, be ready for price action to break out fast.

Preparation is the difference between catching the move and chasing it.

The key is patience: stay centered and let the setups come to you.

Here’s everything to watch as we move into the first full week of October.

If you have any questions, reply to this email — I’ll get back to you personally.

Best,
Evangeline

🗓️ This Week’s Trading Calendar (Oct 5–11)

Source: https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar?week=oct5.2025

Tuesday, Oct 7

• 🇦🇺 Trade Balance – Key AUD data; watch early-week volatility in AUD pairs.

• 🇺🇸 Multiple FOMC Speeches – Sentiment shifts could impact USD and equity futures.

Wednesday, Oct 8

• 🇺🇸 FOMC Meeting Minutes – High-impact event for USD, gold, and index futures.

• 🇺🇸 Crude Oil Inventories – Watch MCL (Crude Futures) for volatility spikes.

Thursday, Oct 9

• 🇺🇸 Unemployment Claims – Key short-term USD driver; impacts risk sentiment.

• 🇺🇸 Fed Chair Powell Speaks – Potential volatility across USD pairs and futures.

Friday, Oct 10

• 🇺🇸 Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) – Main event of the week. Expect heavy movement in USD, gold, and indices.

• 🇺🇸 Unemployment Rate & Avg Hourly Earnings – Confirm or contradict NFP narrative.

• 🇺🇸 Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment – Sentiment data often affects risk-on/off flows late week.

🧭 Key Watchpoints:

• Focus on USD and risk sentiment — expect volatility mid-to-late week.

• Wednesday’s FOMC Minutes and Friday’s NFP will define market bias for the next leg.

• Stay light on position size ahead of Powell’s speech and NFP — both can trigger fast reversals.

📅 Today’s Key Events — Monday, Oct 6

Session Focus: Light day — markets positioning ahead of a heavy midweek schedule.

Impact: Low volatility expected; stay selective.

Key Events:

• 🇦🇺 MI Inflation Gauge m/m

• 🇦🇺 Westpac Consumer Sentiment

• 🇺🇸 Multiple FOMC Member Speeches (Schmid, Barr) — watch for USD tone shifts

Market Note:
AUD may see early movement on sentiment data; otherwise, expect range-bound price action until Tuesday’s U.S. releases.

📅 Tomorrow — Tuesday, Oct 7

• 🇦🇺 Trade Balance — Early Asia volatility expected on AUD.

• 🇺🇸 Multiple FOMC Speeches — Tone could influence DXY, gold, and ES futures.

• 📊 Overall Bias: Wait for FOMC clarity; liquidity likely to pick up in NY session.

🧭 Market Bias

• USD: Neutral → Slightly bullish bias as traders await FOMC tone.

• EURUSD: Range-bound between 1.0780–1.0850; breakout watch.

• Gold (XAUUSD): Holding firm near $2,475 — upside likely capped before Wednesday’s minutes.

• ES / NQ Futures: Mildly bullish on dip buys, but watch for thin liquidity.

• Crude (MCL): Sideways under $72; inventory data Wednesday will set tone.

💡 Possible Setups

(Bias + setup zone for high-probability plays)

• EURUSD: Bullish bias above 1.0820 — breakout target 1.0870.

• GBPUSD: Short bias below 1.2600; sellers defending weekly resistance.

• XAUUSD (Gold): Watch $2,460 as key support; long if price defends during NY session.

• MES (S&P Micro): Long bias above 4960; low volatility likely, size down.

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